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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 30th, 2023

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  • Look, I’m not making any claims on nutrition vs caloric intake. I’m using calories available per person as an analog for the amount of resources an individual consumes today vs in the past. A calorie is literally a unit of energy, so we literally have more food energy available to us today than previous generations. That’s the argument.

    As a society have normalized increased resource utilization. This has happened largely with a decrease in the cost of these resources until recently. There is no reason to believe the trend of increasing resource utilization and decreasing resource cost would hold over time. Our generation got unlucky that finite resources finally started to show up in resource costs. It was like a game of musical chairs and the music stopped around the mid 2000s and generations that had not established wealth at that point were left without a chair.










  • I think the ‘point’ of the ship of thesius is often missed. Grouping things together to be one entity is thought process done in our brains for ease of understanding, but it doesn’t exist in the real world.

    I think the ship of thesius thought experiment is there to show that there are times where things can’t be distinctly grouped. When things don’t fit nicely into groups we shouldn’t force them, but abandon the that grouping as it isn’t applicable to the situation.








  • Now, bring this concept into a potential conflict between the US and China. China has ~200x the ship building capacity as the US.

    In WWII it’s generally agreed that the NAZIs had better, more sophisticated weapons. The US and Soviets just built more which ended up being a winning strategy.

    In both the Ukrainian and Iran theatres, mass produced cheaper drones have proven an effective strategy against sophisticated anti-air defenses.

    My point is that in real conflicts it seems manufacturing quantity is more important than technological superiority. Today, the US boasts of its weapons superiority, but China’s manufacturing capacity far exceeds the US. If it really came to (non nuke flinging) war between the two, it seems China has the advantage.