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Cake day: July 3rd, 2023

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  • The same reason General Popov was dismissed then attacked by state media. The same reason Prigozhin encountered minor resistance on his march to Moscow.

    Morale is low, stockpiles are depleted and industry is decimated, partially by sanctions and partially by mobilization.

    Russia is using WWII tactics with cold war era equipment. Thousands of artillery pieces don’t mean a whole lot if you can’t put counter-battery fire on a HIMARS. Thousands of mobiks aren’t going to be effective if they don’t have modern training and equipment. Russia wasted hundreds of guided missiles on residential targets with no strategic value in the middle of a war.

    The war is already lost. The only question now is how many more Russians have to die on Ukrainian soil before Putin starts to care.