

comment chain so good it must be seen to be believed



comment chain so good it must be seen to be believed



Shockingly the comments are calling out that there’s no way the 30% stock market rise is happening, among other things, but to single out a specific comment:
“RSI in 2026 isn’t predicted by that forecast. They predict AI-assisted speedups of progress. We are currently observing that, in fact a little ahead of schedule. According to METR’s best guess, we have the level of speedup now that AI 2027 had expected in Mar 2027. It isn’t “misleading” for a model to present things you consider boring or incremental and then be scored as correct when the boring or incremental things happen. That’s just being right”
Afaik this is a lie? METR’s time horizons graph still hasn’t updated past Claude Mythos, unless this comment is referring to another piece of METR data that I don’t know about.


Very conveniently cropped out the 46% accuracy on their Mid 2026 China predictions. And the graph that shows every single data point is below AI 2027.
(top comment says the tweet is from August, which makes this even funnier)


Tech industry is coping well with the midterms it seems
“The results offer little evidence of a voter mandate to crack down on AI or data centers,” Kovacevich said, per Ars, noting that “Democratic gubernatorial candidates who opposed data center bans won at a higher rate than those who supported them. “Let’s not confuse an anti-Trump wave with an anti-tech mandate,” he added.
Except every single anti-data centre measure made it through the ballot


I don’t think the bubble has truly burst until OpenAI and/or Anthropic go down, but I do however think that this (and the blue wave at the elections) marks that time is running out for the AI industry


Bart Selman (the other computer scientist) might be rationalist aligned. there’s a future of life institute article on him


Okay yet another post about Yud’s book and its website but finally managed to find that one page I was looking for again.
Also the main page appears to endorse Dwarkesh’s “AI civilisations” narrative and buys the Claude Mythos hype (its under a read more)


I hope they’re all pissing their pants right now


I’d wager its the likelihood of said prediction being true


Yeah a lot of the text pinged my ‘this was AI generated’ brain


Found another ‘interesting’ website: aidoomsdaycountdown.com
one of the options predicts AGI just barely by the end of the year. lmfaooooo


the midterms made Scammy A loopy
"OpenAI is against the notion that it would be acceptable for people to be relegated to a role of doing things that ‘AI systems think makes sense to reward in humans,'” he wrote. “People should not cede control of the future to superintelligence, and that requirement should ultimately constrain AI progress.”


Also, with such a big blue wave theres no way in hell JD Vance is becoming president like AI 2027 predicted (that was already suspect before all this)


congratulations to the us voters for the blue tidal wave!!


it’s not RSI because OpenAI told me they already achieved RSI on the WSJ podcast
(I’m trying to find it again but there was also an article on here about AI having none of the traits needed for RSI)


That last bit is also some pussy shit
Also, no part of the script is to be interpreted as assigning legal responsibility to any party.
‘We don’t want people to think OpenAI-the people actually making these AI agents-should be held legally responsible for the things their products do’


Late response but I looked at the sources page, and the first paragraph is about how they anthropomorphise AI to ‘make a better narrative’
Disclaimer: We use anthropomorphism as a narrative tool in the script to make the story more understandable. Otherwise, we do not attribute human traits to AI agents or claim that AI agents have motivations, wants, or desires similar to humans. We use the words “unethical”, “awareness”, “civilization”, or “die” as metaphors to communicate the events, rather than referring to the true meanings of the concepts or in the same ways that they are applied to humans. Also, no part of the script is to be interpreted as assigning legal responsibility to any party.
Found another stellar AI 2027 take
Yeah I’m sure the massive tech stock selloff and Big Tech allying themselves with the now widely despised and crumbling MAGA party and Anthropic’s IPO becoming shakier and shakier and all those voters saying data centred and tech were key issues that lead to them voting and all those anti-data centre bills being approved except one means that AI not being big is totally unrealistic