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Cake day: February 15th, 2025

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  • You cannot reason a man out of a position he did not reason himself into.

    If youā€™re looking at a guyā€™s resume and it includes graduating from UPENN and getting admitted into Stanford, then launching/guiding/acquiring multiple successful companies and youā€™re then concluding ā€œnah this guy ainā€™t smartā€ or ā€œiā€™m not sure if heā€™s smartā€ itā€™s a position you reached not through logic/reason.

    The author is taking a shot in the dark on Muskā€™s IQ and what the author wants it to be. 110 is normie. Isaacson, a very respected biographer, claims Muskā€™s SAT was 1400, which would have put him somewhere around ~93 percentile. I want to see proof of that score, but Iā€™d guess Muskā€™ IQ is around 125-130 and around 95-97 percentile.

    Trying to boil Muskā€™s success down simply to lying is vastly underestimating him and playing in his favor.



  • Consider the 2016 election and the dangers of writing someone off.

    Initially, the GOP establishment wrote Trump off as a flash in the pan. Heā€™d enjoy an upswing, probably do something really dumb, and either way voters would come to their senses ahead of primary voting.

    By the time the GOP establishment realized how big a threat trump was, it was too late.

    Meanwhile, the Clinton campaign was pushing for Trump as GOP nominee, assuming heā€™d be an easy opponent.

    We know how that turned out.

    Trump is not Musk, itā€™s not a direct parallel, but it illustrates the dangers of underestimating someone.

    Everyone deluding themselves into thinking Musk is an idiot (or 100 IQ) are creating conditions favorable to Musk.

    (I wouldnā€™t be surprised if Musk is of above average intelligence but not a true genius).













  • Eh, I despise Musk and believe he is a grave threat.

    But this ā€œMusk isnā€™t smartā€ narrative is a waste of time and underestimating Musk makes him more dangerous.

    Tesla was a nothing burger company before he acquired it. SpaceX has been highly successful under his leadership. Musk may not have provided much technical knowledge, but heā€™s accomplished too much for it to be random luck, and steering such companies, even if not on a daily basis, is going to require applied intellectual skill.

    Edit: guys you can downvote all you want but underestimating Musk just weakens your position and aids him. Youā€™re not going to an Ivy League school with average or below intelligence.

    Youā€™re also not starting and guiding various companies to high level success if youā€™re dumb. Yes Musk has failed projects. Essentially every company and many if not most entrepreneurs have suffered failures.

    Allegedly he also got a relatively high SAT score (1400) according to Isaacson, a respected biographer (Iā€™d want to see hard proof however).

    Muskā€™s IQ is probably something like 125, not 160. But itā€™s not going to be 90 or other like that.

    But I guess you can go ahead and play into his hand and boost him by underestimating him.