Honestly, we’re in such uncharted waters that I couldn’t venture to guess. It may well be that Trump will be so unpopular in 2028, and his anointed replacement so uninspiring, that the MAGA demonic pact breaks. This has precedent; pretty much nobody who tries Trump’s tricks in anywhere but the deepest of red areas gets any traction. It seems like it might only work for him.
Then again, it’s also entirely possible that he comes out of this whole thing smelling like roses (I can’t even venture a shred of a guess as to how, but he’s weathered some really unpopular press, so who knows) and so whoever he puts his political weight behind goes the distance. In that case, especially if his replacement is a “moderate” MAGA (the Overton Window is stupid far right at this point), I think Newsom gets absolutely trounced in 28.
All of this assumes that Trump doesn’t succumb to his clogging arteries, that he doesn’t have Newsom killed, that he doesn’t “cancel” the 2028 election altogether because of “something something rigged something something,” that he doesn’t actually just get himself back on the ticket again, that the Dems don’t win a supermajority in 2026 and give him the heave-ho…a whole lot of things can happen between now and then.
Which would end in a Democrat L most likely.
Honestly, we’re in such uncharted waters that I couldn’t venture to guess. It may well be that Trump will be so unpopular in 2028, and his anointed replacement so uninspiring, that the MAGA demonic pact breaks. This has precedent; pretty much nobody who tries Trump’s tricks in anywhere but the deepest of red areas gets any traction. It seems like it might only work for him.
Then again, it’s also entirely possible that he comes out of this whole thing smelling like roses (I can’t even venture a shred of a guess as to how, but he’s weathered some really unpopular press, so who knows) and so whoever he puts his political weight behind goes the distance. In that case, especially if his replacement is a “moderate” MAGA (the Overton Window is stupid far right at this point), I think Newsom gets absolutely trounced in 28.
All of this assumes that Trump doesn’t succumb to his clogging arteries, that he doesn’t have Newsom killed, that he doesn’t “cancel” the 2028 election altogether because of “something something rigged something something,” that he doesn’t actually just get himself back on the ticket again, that the Dems don’t win a supermajority in 2026 and give him the heave-ho…a whole lot of things can happen between now and then.
Yeah those are all really good insights.
Which is fine for the ruling class
They just get to pass different policies over different terms that’s all, they always benefit and the status quo remains.
Newsom isn’t likely to make it to that election, with Dump’s violent rhetoric